Towards forecast techniques for business analysts of large commercial data sets using matrix factorization methods

Rodrigo Rivera, Ivan Nazarov, Evgeny Burnaev

    Результат исследований: Вклад в журналСтатья конференциирецензирование

    7 Цитирования (Scopus)

    Аннотация

    This research article suggests that there are significant benefits in exposing demand planners to forecasting methods using matrix completion techniques. This study aims to contribute to a better understanding of the field of forecasting with multivariate time series prediction by focusing on the dimension of large commercial data sets with hierarchies. This research highlights that there has neither been sufficient academic research in this sub-field nor dissemination among practitioners in the business sector. This study seeks to innovate by presenting a matrix completion method for short-term demand forecast of time series data on relevant commercial problems. Albeit computing intensive, this method outperforms the state of the art while remaining accessible to business users. The object of research is matrix completion for time series in a big data context within the industry. The subject of the research is forecasting product demand using techniques for multivariate hierarchical time series prediction that are both precise and accessible to non-technical business experts. Apart from a methodological innovation, this research seeks to introduce practitioners to novel methods for hierarchical multivariate time series prediction. The research outcome is of interest for organizations requiring precise forecasts yet lacking the appropriate human capital to develop them.

    Язык оригиналаАнглийский
    Номер статьи012010
    ЖурналJournal of Physics: Conference Series
    Том1117
    Номер выпуска1
    DOI
    СостояниеОпубликовано - 27 нояб. 2018
    Событие2018 3rd Big Data Conference, BDC 2018 - Moscow, Российская Федерация
    Продолжительность: 14 сент. 2018 → …

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