An exploratory analysis of long-term trends in atmospheric CO2 concentrations

M. Y. Antonovsky, V. M. Buchstaber

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

6 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The analysis of CO2 concentrations obtained from a global network of monitoring stations permitted us to construct a nonparametric evaluation of the spatial-temporal distribution of this field. We propose a parabolic parameterization of the long-term tendency of this field as a function of time (in one-year time steps). A function of the predictive ability of a model is defined on the basis of the technique of "supervised training'. This function is computed for a parabolic model and it is shown that the model constructed for the first 15 years of observations evaluates the tendency for the next 15 years quite well. The main problem that we solve in this paper is how to correlate the projections of different models for the carbon cycle and different scenarios. -from Authors

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)171-187
Number of pages17
JournalTellus B
Volume43 B
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 1991
Externally publishedYes

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